Nevada's 3rd District margin of victory

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Nevada's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 3+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Democrats, 3+ pts★ BEST75¢

Democrats, 6+ pts64¢

Democrats, 9+ pts53¢

Democrats, 12+ pts42¢

Democrats, 15+ pts30¢

Democrats, 18+ pts19¢

Democrats, 21+ pts8¢

Kalshi • Volume: 784 contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03

Kalshi · Elections

OU's Pick

YES · Democrats, 3+ pts

at 75¢

Price gap

Kalshi75¢

→

OU's fair75¢

Confidence

Low

Nevada's 3rd District is a highly competitive swing seat where recent presidential margins and local Republican optimism suggest a very narrow outcome for the 2026 cycle.

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.