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Nevada's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

85¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 1+ pts★ BEST85¢
Democrats, 4+ pts72¢
Democrats, 7+ pts60¢
Democrats, 10+ pts42¢
Democrats, 13+ pts24¢
Democrats, 16+ pts19¢
Democrats, 19+ pts13¢
Democrats, 22+ pts8¢
Democrats, 25+ pts2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 9.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 1+ pts
at 85¢
Price gap
Kalshi85¢
→
OU's fair85¢
Confidence
Moderate

Nevada's 4th District is a Democratic-leaning seat where the incumbent has consistently won by margins exceeding several percentage points in recent cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.