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New York's 2nd District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Republicans, 1+ pts71¢
Republicans, 4+ pts62¢
Republicans, 7+ pts★ BEST57¢
Republicans, 10+ pts43¢
Republicans, 13+ pts34¢
Republicans, 16+ pts25¢
Republicans, 19+ pts15¢
Republicans, 22+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.3K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 7+ pts
at 57¢
Price gap
Kalshi57¢
→
OU's fair57¢
Confidence
Low

Andrew Garbarino won the 2022 election by over twenty percentage points and the district maintains a strong Republican lean in recent cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.