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New York's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 5+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

62¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 2+ pts71¢
Democrats, 5+ pts★ BEST62¢
Democrats, 8+ pts53¢
Democrats, 11+ pts43¢
Democrats, 14+ pts34¢
Democrats, 17+ pts25¢
Democrats, 20+ pts15¢
Democrats, 23+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 662 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 5+ pts
at 62¢
Price gap
Kalshi62¢
→
OU's fair62¢
Confidence
Low

Democrats currently hold the seat and have historically performed well in this district despite a Republican win in 2022.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.