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New York's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 6+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

65¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 3+ pts72¢
Democrats, 6+ pts★ BEST65¢
Democrats, 9+ pts59¢
Democrats, 12+ pts50¢
Democrats, 15+ pts41¢
Democrats, 18+ pts30¢
Democrats, 21+ pts19¢
Democrats, 24+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 6+ pts
at 65¢
Price gap
Kalshi65¢
→
OU's fair65¢
Confidence
Low

New York's 4th District is a highly competitive swing seat that flipped Republican in 2022 and remains a top national target for both parties in the upcoming midterm cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.