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New York's 15th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 49+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

91¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 49+ pts★ BEST91¢
Democrats, 52+ pts80¢
Democrats, 55+ pts70¢
Democrats, 58+ pts60¢
Democrats, 61+ pts49¢
Democrats, 64+ pts38¢
Democrats, 67+ pts28¢
Democrats, 70+ pts17¢
Democrats, 73+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.8K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 49+ pts
at 91¢
Price gap
Kalshi91¢
→
OU's fair95¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

New York's 15th district is one of the most Democratic-leaning in the nation with historical margins of victory consistently exceeding seventy percentage points.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.