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New York's 16th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 32+ pts★ BEST93¢
Democrats, 35+ pts84¢
Democrats, 38+ pts72¢
Democrats, 41+ pts61¢
Democrats, 44+ pts50¢
Democrats, 47+ pts40¢
Democrats, 50+ pts29¢
Democrats, 53+ pts18¢
Democrats, 56+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 32+ pts
at 93¢
Price gap
Kalshi93¢
OU's fair93¢
Confidence
Low

New York's 16th District is a Democratic stronghold where the party typically wins by substantial margins despite occasional fluctuations in turnout.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.