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New York's 24th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 33+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

5¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 9+ pts76¢
Republicans, 12+ pts69¢
Republicans, 15+ pts59¢
Republicans, 18+ pts50¢
Republicans, 21+ pts41¢
Republicans, 24+ pts32¢
Republicans, 27+ pts23¢
Republicans, 30+ pts14¢
Republicans, 33+ pts★ BEST5¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 33+ pts
at 5¢
Price gap
Kalshi5¢
→
OU's fair5¢
Confidence
Low

While New York's 24th District is a Republican stronghold, a 33 point margin of victory is an extremely high historical threshold for a general election.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.