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Ohio's 12th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Republicans, 12+ pts84¢
Republicans, 15+ pts75¢
Republicans, 18+ pts64¢
Republicans, 21+ pts★ BEST55¢
Republicans, 24+ pts45¢
Republicans, 27+ pts35¢
Republicans, 30+ pts26¢
Republicans, 33+ pts16¢
Republicans, 36+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 639.8 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 21+ pts
at 55¢
Price gap
Kalshi55¢
→
OU's fair55¢
Confidence
Low

Ohio's 12th District is a reliably Republican seat where Troy Balderson has consistently won by double digits in recent election cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.