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Oklahoma's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 3+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

78¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 3+ pts★ BEST78¢
Republicans, 6+ pts68¢
Republicans, 9+ pts59¢
Republicans, 12+ pts51¢
Republicans, 15+ pts42¢
Republicans, 18+ pts33¢
Republicans, 21+ pts24¢
Republicans, 24+ pts15¢
Republicans, 27+ pts9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.1K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 3+ pts
at 78¢
Price gap
Kalshi78¢
→
OU's fair77¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Low

Oklahoma's 1st District is a safe Republican seat where the incumbent Kevin Hern won by over thirty points in the previous election cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.