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Oklahoma's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 41+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

9¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 17+ pts87¢
Republicans, 20+ pts79¢
Republicans, 23+ pts70¢
Republicans, 26+ pts63¢
Republicans, 29+ pts53¢
Republicans, 32+ pts44¢
Republicans, 35+ pts32¢
Republicans, 38+ pts20¢
Republicans, 41+ pts★ BEST9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 757 contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 41+ pts
at 9¢
Price gap
Kalshi9¢
→
OU's fair9¢
Confidence
Low

Historical election data for Oklahoma's 4th District shows Tom Cole winning by margins typically ranging from 30 to 35 points rather than exceeding the 41 point threshold.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.