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Oregon's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 33+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

90¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 33+ pts★ BEST90¢
Democrats, 36+ pts80¢
Democrats, 39+ pts70¢
Democrats, 42+ pts59¢
Democrats, 45+ pts48¢
Democrats, 48+ pts38¢
Democrats, 51+ pts28¢
Democrats, 54+ pts17¢
Democrats, 57+ pts10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 5.5K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 33+ pts
at 90¢
Price gap
Kalshi90¢
→
OU's fair82¢
−8¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Representative Suzanne Bonamici consistently wins this deep blue district by margins exceeding thirty percentage points in recent election cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.