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Oregon's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 6+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

89¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 6+ pts★ BEST89¢
Democrats, 9+ pts79¢
Democrats, 12+ pts68¢
Democrats, 15+ pts58¢
Democrats, 18+ pts48¢
Democrats, 21+ pts37¢
Democrats, 24+ pts27¢
Democrats, 27+ pts17¢
Democrats, 30+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 6+ pts
at 89¢
Price gap
Kalshi89¢
→
OU's fair89¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent Val Hoyle maintains a strong electoral position in a district that historically favors Democrats by mid-to-high single digits.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.