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Oregon Senate margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 15+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

79¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 13+ pts87¢
Democrats, 15+ pts★ BEST79¢
Democrats, 17+ pts69¢
Democrats, 19+ pts65¢
Democrats, 21+ pts60¢
Democrats, 23+ pts51¢
Democrats, 25+ pts42¢
Democrats, 27+ pts33¢
Democrats, 29+ pts24¢
Democrats, 31+ pts16¢
Democrats, 33+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.1K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 15+ pts
at 79¢
Price gap
Kalshi79¢
→
OU's fair65¢
−14¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Senator Jeff Merkley holds a massive fundraising advantage over Republican challengers while the Cook Political Report rates the race as Solid Democratic.

Wide edge+14¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.