Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
45¢
34¢
21¢
9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.1K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 1+ pts
at 45¢
Price gap
Kalshi45¢
→OU's fair45¢
Confidence
Low
Pennsylvania's 1st District is a highly competitive swing seat that Republicans have held recently despite Democratic efforts to flip the district in previous cycles.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.