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Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Republicans, 2+ pts★ BEST42¢
Republicans, 5+ pts33¢
Republicans, 8+ pts23¢
Republicans, 11+ pts14¢
Republicans, 14+ pts5¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.8K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 2+ pts
at 42¢
Price gap
Kalshi42¢
→
OU's fair41¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 2.4×
Confidence
Low

The Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick has historically won this swing district by margins exceeding two percentage points in multiple consecutive election cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.