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Pennsylvania's 5th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 32+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

58¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 23+ pts86¢
Democrats, 26+ pts78¢
Democrats, 29+ pts68¢
Democrats, 32+ pts★ BEST58¢
Democrats, 35+ pts48¢
Democrats, 38+ pts39¢
Democrats, 41+ pts28¢
Democrats, 44+ pts18¢
Democrats, 47+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 544 contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 32+ pts
at 58¢
Price gap
Kalshi58¢
→
OU's fair58¢
Confidence
Low

Mary Gay Scanlon won the 2022 election in this district by over thirty percentage points and the district remains a safe Democratic stronghold in 2026.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.