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Pennsylvania's 9th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 29+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

61¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 20+ pts87¢
Republicans, 23+ pts79¢
Republicans, 26+ pts70¢
Republicans, 29+ pts★ BEST61¢
Republicans, 32+ pts53¢
Republicans, 35+ pts44¢
Republicans, 38+ pts35¢
Republicans, 41+ pts23¢
Republicans, 44+ pts10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.6K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 29+ pts
at 61¢
Price gap
Kalshi61¢
→
OU's fair61¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent Dan Meuser historically wins this deeply Republican district by margins exceeding thirty points and faces no significant opposition in the upcoming 2026 cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.