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Pennsylvania Governor margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 10+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

75¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 4+ pts89¢
Democrats, 7+ pts82¢
Democrats, 10+ pts★ BEST75¢
Democrats, 13+ pts67¢
Democrats, 16+ pts52¢
Democrats, 19+ pts38¢
Democrats, 22+ pts27¢
Democrats, 25+ pts17¢
Democrats, 28+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.6K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 10+ pts
at 75¢
Price gap
Kalshi75¢
→
OU's fair75¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent Governor Josh Shapiro maintains high approval ratings and leads early polling for the 2026 gubernatorial race against potential Republican challengers.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.