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Rhode Island's 2nd District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
Democrats, 7+ pts92¢
Democrats, 10+ pts82¢
Democrats, 13+ pts71¢
Democrats, 16+ pts61¢
Democrats, 19+ pts51¢
Democrats, 22+ pts★ BEST45¢
Democrats, 25+ pts35¢
Democrats, 28+ pts19¢
Democrats, 31+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2K contracts • Updated 1m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 22+ pts
at 45¢
Price gap
Kalshi45¢
→
OU's fair45¢
Confidence
Low

Seth Magaziner is the heavy favorite to win the district but historical margins and current political handicapping suggest a victory margin below the twenty-two point threshold.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.