Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 1.8K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 93¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Kalshi93¢
→OU's fair95¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
South Carolina is a reliably Republican state where Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election since 1998 and currently face a significant partisan registration deficit.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.