Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES12¢ (12%)
NO88¢ (88%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 600 contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 12¢ · pays 8.3×
Price gap
Kalshi12¢
→OU's fair31¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 8.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Texas's 32nd District is a safe Democratic seat with a D+20 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit margins for the incumbent party.
Wide edge+19¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.