Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 90¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Kalshi90¢
→OU's fair95¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Texas remains a Republican stronghold and current polling models indicate the Republican party is favored to win the 2026 gubernatorial election.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.