OVER / UNDER
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Texas Governor margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 6+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

59¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 3+ pts74¢
Republicans, 6+ pts★ BEST59¢
Republicans, 9+ pts44¢
Republicans, 12+ pts28¢
Republicans, 15+ pts20¢
Republicans, 18+ pts12¢
Republicans, 21+ pts5¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.6K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 6+ pts
at 59¢
Price gap
Kalshi59¢
→
OU's fair58¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Low

Historical voting patterns and recent polling for the state attorney general primary suggest a strong Republican baseline in Texas statewide elections.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.