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Texas Senate margin of victory

Price history — James Talarico, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

38¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
James Talarico, 1+ pts★ BEST38¢
James Talarico, 3+ pts28¢
James Talarico, 5+ pts18¢
James Talarico, 7+ pts10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 12.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · James Talarico, 1+ pts
at 38¢
Price gap
Kalshi38¢
→
OU's fair17¢
−21¢ overpriced · pays 2.6×
Confidence
Moderate

James Talarico has a significant fundraising lead over Ken Paxton but Texas remains a Republican-leaning state in statewide elections.

Wide edge+21¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.