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Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

Price history — Ken Paxton, 3+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

92¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts★ BEST92¢
Ken Paxton, 6+ pts84¢
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts73¢
Ken Paxton, 12+ pts49¢
Ken Paxton, 15+ pts30¢
Ken Paxton, 18+ pts17¢
Ken Paxton, 21+ pts10¢
Ken Paxton, 24+ pts7¢
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts4¢
Ken Paxton, 30+ pts1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 39.4K contracts • Updated 33m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
at 92¢
Price gap
Kalshi92¢
→
OU's fair72¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Polling from the UH Hobby School shows Ken Paxton in a statistical tie with John Cornyn on the day of the runoff election.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.