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Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 32+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

62¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 23+ pts88¢
Democrats, 26+ pts80¢
Democrats, 29+ pts71¢
Democrats, 32+ pts★ BEST62¢
Democrats, 35+ pts53¢
Democrats, 38+ pts40¢
Democrats, 41+ pts28¢
Democrats, 44+ pts17¢
Democrats, 47+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 610 contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 32+ pts
at 62¢
Price gap
Kalshi62¢
→
OU's fair62¢
Confidence
Low

Virginia redistricting and recent Democratic momentum suggest a strong performance in the 3rd District but reaching a 32 point margin remains a high historical bar.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.