How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
Price history — At least 5
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
15¢
8¢
3¢
2¢
1¢
1¢
1¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 18.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-02-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · At least 5
at 15¢
Price gap
Kalshi15¢
→OU's fair14¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 6.7×
Confidence
Low
Elon Musk has historically supported very few non-incumbent candidates and the 2026 midterm environment for challengers remains highly uncertain.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.