Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?
Price history — Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES23¢ (23%)
NO77¢ (77%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 6.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 23¢ · pays 4.3×
Price gap
Kalshi23¢
→OU's fair46¢
+23¢ underpriced · pays 4.3×
Confidence
Moderate
French prosecutors have already summoned Musk to face preliminary criminal charges regarding platform content and deepfakes as of May 2026.
Wide edge+23¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.