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Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Tom Cole2¢
Steve Daines2¢
Kevin Cramer1¢
John Thune1¢
Mike Johnson★ BEST0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 14.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-02-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Mike Johnson
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi
OU's fair
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1000×
Confidence
Low

Musk has expressed public frustration with Mike Johnson over foreign aid and government spending which makes him the most likely target for a primary challenge backing.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.