How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year?
Price history — Above 3
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
51¢
49¢
24¢
23¢
10¢
4¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-01
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · Above 3
at 49¢
Price gap
Kalshi49¢
→OU's fair67¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 2.0×
Confidence
Moderate
NOAA forecasts a 70 percent chance of an above-normal 2026 Central Pacific hurricane season which typically averages 4 to 5 tropical cyclones per year.
Wide edge+18¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.