Will YES win the 2026 Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES82¢ (82%)
NO18¢ (18%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 3.1K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2028-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 18¢ · pays 5.6×
Price gap
Kalshi18¢
→OU's fair18¢
Confidence
Moderate
The Nauruan government and parliament have officially backed the name change to Naoero as a move to honor national identity and break from colonial history.
Off market consensus
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