When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
Price history — Before Oct 1, 2027
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
72¢
62¢
40¢
19¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.6K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-10-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Before Oct 1, 2027
at 72¢
Price gap
Kalshi72¢
→OU's fair51¢
−21¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Newsom remains a prominent national figure with significant media speculation but has not filed FEC paperwork or made a formal announcement as of May 2026.
Wide edge+21¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.