New Zealand general election winner?
Price history — National
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
41¢
35¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-12-31
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · National
at 35¢
Price gap
Kalshi35¢
→OU's fair55¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent Roy Morgan polling from April 2026 shows the National-led coalition maintaining a steady lead with 47.5 percent support over the opposition parties.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.