Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?
Price history — Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES34¢ (34%)
NO66¢ (66%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 51.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-03-04
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
NO at 66¢ · pays 1.5×
Price gap
Kalshi66¢
→OU's fair75¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported first quarter 2026 nonfarm productivity growth at a low rate of 0.8 percent which is significantly below the 3 percent threshold.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.