US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026
Price history — Above 0.5%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
92¢
82¢
50¢
16¢
2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-07-30
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 0.5%
at 92¢
Price gap
Kalshi92¢
→OU's fair92¢
Confidence
Moderate
Recent data shows Q1 2026 nominal growth reached at least 1.6 percent and historical trends suggest nominal growth rarely falls below 0.5 percent without a major shock.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.