Will the 10 year US Treasury yield end May 2026 above 4.35%?
Price history — Will the 10 year US Treasury yield end May 2026 above 4.35%?
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES87¢ (87%)
NO13¢ (13%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 8.3K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-29 (4d)
Kalshi · Financials
OU's Pick
YES at 87¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Kalshi87¢
→OU's fair95¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
High
The 10-year Treasury yield was recorded at 4.57 on May 21 2026 which is significantly above the 4.35 threshold with only a few trading days remaining in the month.
High conviction
Closes in4d 4h
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.