How many government shutdowns in 2026?
Price history — 2
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
59¢
20¢
8¢
6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 32.7K contracts • Updated 1m agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · 2
at 59¢
Price gap
Kalshi59¢
→OU's fair79¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Wikipedia reports that two distinct federal government shutdowns have already occurred in 2026 following disputes over immigration enforcement reforms.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.