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NY-04 Republican nominee?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Jeanine Driscoll66¢
Marvin Suber Williams1¢
Brian Miller1¢
Michael Mandel1¢
Dennis McGrath1¢
Martin Smithmyer1¢
Patricia Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick0¢
Anthony D’Esposito★ BEST0¢
Don Clavin0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 41K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Anthony D’Esposito
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi
OU's fair20¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1000×
Confidence
Moderate

Anthony D’Esposito is the incumbent Republican representative for New York's 4th district and is actively campaigning for re-election in the 2026 cycle.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.