Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?
Price history — Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES18¢ (18%)
NO82¢ (82%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 2.9K contracts • Updated 40m agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 18¢ · pays 5.6×
Price gap
Kalshi18¢
→OU's fair21¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 5.6×
Confidence
Low
The Senate has not overruled its parliamentarian since 1975 and current budget reconciliation rules are generally followed to maintain procedural legitimacy.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.