Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?
Price history — Above -25,000
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
83¢
81¢
71¢
67¢
63¢
58¢
52¢
45¢
39¢
32¢
27¢
25¢
14¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.6K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-09-04
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above -25,000
at 83¢
Price gap
Kalshi83¢
→OU's fair95¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent FRED data shows nonfarm payroll growth of 115000 and stable jobless claims which suggests the labor market remains well above the negative thresholds.
Wide edge+12¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.