Jobs numbers in Jul 2026? Odds & Analysis

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Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

Price history — Above -25,000

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Above -25,000★ BEST85¢

Above 078¢

Above 20,00076¢

Above 10,00074¢

Above 30,00066¢

Above 50,00062¢

Above 40,00062¢

Above 60,00053¢

Above 70,00048¢

Above 80,00041¢

Above 100,00036¢

Above 90,00036¢

Above 125,00027¢

Kalshi • Volume: 2.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-08-07

Kalshi · Economics

OU's Pick

YES · Above -25,000

at 85¢

Price gap

Kalshi85¢

→

OU's fair84¢

−1¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×

Confidence

Low

Current economic data shows a stable unemployment rate and steady jobless claims which suggests that a massive contraction of payrolls is highly unlikely.

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.