Jobs numbers in October 2026?
Price history — Above -25,000
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
78¢
74¢
65¢
61¢
58¢
54¢
49¢
45¢
40¢
35¢
30¢
24¢
15¢
Kalshi • Volume: 8.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-11-06
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above -25,000
at 78¢
Price gap
Kalshi78¢
→OU's fair22¢
−56¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent payroll data shows steady growth of over 100,000 jobs per month despite a cooling labor market.
Wide edge+56¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.