Will Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?
Price history — Will Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 7.2K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 80¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Kalshi80¢
→OU's fair88¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Poilievre maintained strong internal party support with a high leadership review score in early 2026 despite a previous election loss.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.