Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
Price history — Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES17¢ (17%)
NO83¢ (83%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 7.9K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-31
Kalshi · Health
OU's Pick
NO at 83¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Kalshi83¢
→OU's fair85¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
The CDC reports that wild poliovirus is eliminated in the United States and recent cases are extremely rare vaccine-derived occurrences.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.