Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
Price history — Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 7.6K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-31
Kalshi · Health
OU's Pick
NO at 86¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Kalshi86¢
→OU's fair92¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
While polio was eliminated in the United States decades ago, a rare case in 2022 demonstrates that sporadic occurrences remain possible among unvaccinated populations.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.