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2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

Price history — Republican party

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

38¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Democratic party61¢
Republican party★ BEST38¢
Kalshi • Volume: 467.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2029-11-07
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican party
at 38¢
Price gap
Kalshi38¢
OU's fair52¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 2.6×
Confidence
Low

Historical trends for two-term party limits and current political cycles suggest a competitive environment for the 2028 election cycle.

Wide edge+14¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.