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Texas Republican Senate runoff: which counties will Ken Paxton win?

Price history — Tarrant

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

74¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Harris90¢
Bexar80¢
Tarrant★ BEST74¢
El Paso73¢
Dallas38¢
Travis24¢
Kalshi • Volume: 29.1K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-05-26
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Tarrant
at 74¢
Price gap
Kalshi74¢
→
OU's fair55¢
−19¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate

Ken Paxton maintains a narrow lead over John Cornyn in recent polling and historically performs well in conservative strongholds like Tarrant County.

Wide edge+19¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.