CA-40 Primary margin of victory?
Price history — Young Kim, ≥12%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
82¢
7¢
3¢
2¢
1¢
1¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 14.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-06-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Young Kim, ≥12%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→OU's fair20¢
+20¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate
Early results from the June 2026 primary show Young Kim leading Ken Calvert in a district that favors her established voter base.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.