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California governor primary margin of victory?

Price history — Xavier Becerra, ≥10%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Xavier Becerra, 0-2%23¢
Xavier Becerra, 4-6%20¢
Xavier Becerra, 2-4%7¢
Xavier Becerra, 6-8%4¢
Steve Hilton, 0-2%3¢
Steve Hilton, 6-8%0¢
Tom Steyer, 0-2%0¢
Steve Hilton, 8-10%0¢
Tom Steyer, 2-4%0¢
Xavier Becerra, ≥10%★ BEST0¢
Tom Steyer, 4-6%0¢
Xavier Becerra, 8-10%0¢
Tom Steyer, 6-8%0¢
Steve Hilton, 2-4%0¢
Steve Hilton, ≥10%0¢
Steve Hilton, 4-6%0¢
Tom Steyer, 8-10%0¢
Tom Steyer, ≥10%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 151.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Xavier Becerra, ≥10%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair0¢
Confidence
Low

Xavier Becerra is a prominent statewide official with high name recognition in a crowded field where a double-digit margin is a common outcome for a leading candidate.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.